FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 上昇 16.2pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-07-14 15:53:21 UTC (00:53 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 16.2pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.875 H=161.898 L=161.859 C=161.875
- その分の ticks/minute: 406
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0242 | 0.0251 | — | 0.0254 |
| spread_max | 0.0316 | 0.0287 | — | 0.0280 |
| ticks_per_minute | 231.1 | 386.0 | — | 406.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0217 | 0.0282 | — | 0.0288 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 7.9976 | 8.4167 | — | 5.5833 |
| ping_max | 15.7 | 17.0 | — | 9.0000 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.7143 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 1.4286 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 40.5 | 55.0 | — | 55.0 |
| info_score | 43.7 | 40.0 | — | 40.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:53 / 23:53 | +60min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:58 / 23:58 | +55min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:03 / 00:03 | +50min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:09 / 00:09 | +44min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:14 / 00:14 | +39min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:20 / 00:20 | +33min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:25 / 00:25 | +28min | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:31 / 00:31 | +21min | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:37 / 00:37 | +16min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:42 / 00:42 | +11min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:47 / 00:47 | +6min | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:01 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | IST (Istanbul) on 2026-07-13 |
| 15:17 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-07-15 |
| 15:24 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | minor | Elevated R2 errors in WEUR region |
| 15:34 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-07-10 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:45 | -8 | 161.741 | 161.761 | 161.716 | 161.716 | 0.0253 | 405 |
| 15:46 | -7 | 161.745 | 161.749 | 161.697 | 161.712 | 0.0251 | 452 |
| 15:47 | -6 | 161.715 | 161.762 | 161.709 | 161.750 | 0.0252 | 404 |
| 15:50 | -3 | 161.802 | 161.812 | 161.775 | 161.803 | 0.0251 | 354 |
| 15:51 | -2 | 161.805 | 161.834 | 161.792 | 161.832 | 0.0246 | 356 |
| 15:52 | -1 | 161.822 | 161.890 | 161.822 | 161.863 | 0.0255 | 448 |
| 15:53 | +0 | 161.875 | 161.898 | 161.859 | 161.875 | 0.0254 | 406 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-07-14T15:54:05+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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