FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 33.9pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-07-14 15:39:31 UTC (00:39 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 33.9pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.849 H=161.861 L=161.822 C=161.851
- その分の ticks/minute: 251
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0253 | 0.0268 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| spread_max | 0.0321 | 0.0310 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| ticks_per_minute | 163.4 | 529.5 | 242.0 | 242.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0233 | 0.0179 | 0.0204 | 0.0204 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 7.6469 | 6.3750 | 8.5000 | 8.5000 |
| ping_max | 14.7 | 14.5 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 37.7 | 55.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 |
| info_score | 52.1 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:42 / 23:42 | +57min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:47 / 23:47 | +52min | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:53 / 23:53 | +46min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:58 / 23:58 | +41min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:03 / 00:03 | +36min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:09 / 00:09 | +30min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:14 / 00:14 | +25min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:20 / 00:20 | +19min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:25 / 00:25 | +14min | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:31 / 00:31 | +8min | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15:37 / 00:37 | +2min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:49 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-07-13 |
| 15:01 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | IST (Istanbul) on 2026-07-13 |
| 15:17 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-07-15 |
| 15:24 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | minor | Elevated R2 errors in WEUR region |
| 15:34 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-07-10 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | -9 | 162.192 | 162.194 | 161.668 | 161.683 | 0.0502 | 322 |
| 15:31 | -8 | 161.760 | 161.804 | 161.610 | 161.718 | 0.0315 | 641 |
| 15:35 | -4 | 161.743 | 161.783 | 161.721 | 161.748 | 0.0268 | 542 |
| 15:36 | -3 | 161.757 | 161.827 | 161.739 | 161.823 | 0.0268 | 517 |
| 15:39 | +0 | 161.849 | 161.861 | 161.822 | 161.851 | 0.0000 | 251 |
| 15:41 | +2 | 161.811 | 161.814 | 161.772 | 161.773 | 0.0000 | 242 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-07-14T15:42:05+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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