FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 21.4pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-07-10 04:07:20 UTC (13:07 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 21.4pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.975 H=161.976 L=161.871 C=161.872
- その分の ticks/minute: 211
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0018 | 0.0020 | — | 0.0021 |
| spread_max | 0.0026 | 0.0030 | — | 0.0030 |
| ticks_per_minute | 78.8 | 174.0 | — | 211.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0275 | 0.0240 | — | 0.0249 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.0116 | 6.4167 | — | 8.2500 |
| ping_max | 10.7 | 13.0 | — | 15.0 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 11.1 | 24.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| info_score | 50.6 | 70.0 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:09 / 12:09 | +58min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:14 / 12:14 | +53min | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:19 / 12:19 | +48min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:24 / 12:24 | +43min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:29 / 12:29 | +38min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:35 / 12:35 | +32min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:40 / 12:40 | +27min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:46 / 12:46 | +21min | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 03:52 / 12:52 | +15min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:57 / 12:57 | +10min | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 04:03 / 13:03 | +4min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | DFW (Dallas) on 2026-07-09 |
| 04:06 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | EWR (Newark) on 2026-07-10 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:57 | -10 | 161.909 | 161.966 | 161.909 | 161.954 | 0.0030 | 226 |
| 04:01 | -6 | 162.066 | 162.096 | 162.026 | 162.039 | 0.0020 | 154 |
| 04:02 | -5 | 162.044 | 162.106 | 162.019 | 162.081 | 0.0020 | 167 |
| 04:06 | -1 | 161.976 | 162.029 | 161.959 | 161.959 | 0.0019 | 181 |
| 04:07 | +0 | 161.975 | 161.976 | 161.871 | 161.872 | 0.0021 | 211 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-07-10T04:08:04+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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