FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 16.2pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-07-02 11:10:20 UTC (20:10 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY- - 指標: 16.2pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.289 H=161.291 L=161.231 C=161.261
- その分の ticks/minute: 141
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0057 | 0.0064 | — | 0.0053 |
| spread_max | 0.0067 | 0.0070 | — | 0.0070 |
| ticks_per_minute | 145.4 | 146.3 | — | 141.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0214 | 0.0260 | — | 0.0294 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.6352 | 5.1111 | — | 5.2500 |
| ping_max | 12.3 | 9.3333 | — | 9.0000 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 13.4 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| info_score | 31.4 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:13 / 19:13 | +57min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:18 / 19:18 | +52min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:24 / 19:24 | +46min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:30 / 19:30 | +40min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:35 / 19:35 | +35min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:40 / 19:40 | +30min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:45 / 19:45 | +25min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:51 / 19:51 | +19min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:56 / 19:56 | +14min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11:02 / 20:02 | +8min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11:07 / 20:07 | +3min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service disruption: Increased Error Rates |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service disruption: Increased Connectivity Issues and API Er |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service impact: Increased Connectivity Issues and API Error |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | minor | Service impact: Increased connectivity issues and API Error |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service degradation: Increased Error Rates |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service impact: Increased Error Rates |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | -10 | 161.419 | 161.438 | 161.406 | 161.421 | 0.0052 | 143 |
| 11:01 | -9 | 161.422 | 161.444 | 161.395 | 161.400 | 0.0070 | 150 |
| 11:02 | -8 | 161.424 | 161.424 | 161.395 | 161.423 | 0.0070 | 120 |
| 11:04 | -6 | 161.399 | 161.403 | 161.277 | 161.284 | 0.0038 | 158 |
| 11:05 | -5 | 161.316 | 161.320 | 161.250 | 161.252 | 0.0052 | 177 |
| 11:06 | -4 | 161.258 | 161.272 | 161.224 | 161.231 | 0.0070 | 132 |
| 11:07 | -3 | 161.233 | 161.262 | 161.219 | 161.240 | 0.0070 | 130 |
| 11:10 | +0 | 161.289 | 161.291 | 161.231 | 161.261 | 0.0053 | 141 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-07-02T11:11:04+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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