FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 16.7pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-07-02 10:40:20 UTC (19:40 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY- - 指標: 16.7pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.572 H=161.593 L=161.537 C=161.538
- その分の ticks/minute: 155
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0052 | 0.0056 | — | 0.0050 |
| spread_max | 0.0087 | 0.0076 | — | 0.0070 |
| ticks_per_minute | 141.5 | 146.0 | — | 155.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0283 | 0.0233 | — | 0.0210 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.7659 | 5.1167 | — | 5.1667 |
| ping_max | 12.8 | 8.4000 | — | 9.0000 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.5952 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 1.1905 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 14.0 | 21.6 | — | 12.0 |
| info_score | 11.0 | 40.0 | — | 40.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:45 / 18:45 | +55min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:50 / 18:50 | +50min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:56 / 18:56 | +44min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:02 / 19:02 | +38min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:07 / 19:07 | +33min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:13 / 19:13 | +27min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:18 / 19:18 | +22min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:24 / 19:24 | +16min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:30 / 19:30 | +10min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:35 / 19:35 | +5min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:05 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LOS (Lagos) on 2026-07-02 |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service disruption: Increased Error Rates |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service disruption: Increased Connectivity Issues and API Er |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service impact: Increased Connectivity Issues and API Error |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | minor | Service impact: Increased connectivity issues and API Error |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service degradation: Increased Error Rates |
| 10:34 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service impact: Increased Error Rates |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:32 | -8 | 161.689 | 161.728 | 161.679 | 161.722 | 0.0067 | 143 |
| 10:33 | -7 | 161.721 | 161.733 | 161.667 | 161.708 | 0.0057 | 140 |
| 10:34 | -6 | 161.689 | 161.712 | 161.689 | 161.708 | 0.0035 | 124 |
| 10:35 | -5 | 161.706 | 161.722 | 161.685 | 161.706 | 0.0052 | 135 |
| 10:36 | -4 | 161.720 | 161.720 | 161.673 | 161.708 | 0.0067 | 144 |
| 10:37 | -3 | 161.709 | 161.724 | 161.673 | 161.683 | 0.0067 | 110 |
| 10:38 | -2 | 161.684 | 161.688 | 161.623 | 161.634 | 0.0059 | 165 |
| 10:39 | -1 | 161.632 | 161.642 | 161.558 | 161.563 | 0.0035 | 176 |
| 10:40 | +0 | 161.572 | 161.593 | 161.537 | 161.538 | 0.0050 | 155 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-07-02T10:41:04+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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