FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 16.7pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-06-23 11:03:20 UTC (20:03 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 16.7pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.422 H=161.425 L=161.267 C=161.348
- その分の ticks/minute: 453
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0258 | 0.0256 | — | 0.0275 |
| spread_max | 0.0287 | 0.0280 | — | 0.0350 |
| ticks_per_minute | 244.4 | 231.8 | — | 453.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0114 | 0.0138 | — | 0.0151 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.9516 | 6.7500 | — | 5.1667 |
| ping_max | 13.1 | 13.2 | — | 9.0000 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.6410 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 1.2821 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 13.1 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| info_score | 83.1 | 90.0 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:06 / 19:06 | +57min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:12 / 19:12 | +51min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:17 / 19:17 | +46min | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:22 / 19:22 | +41min | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:27 / 19:27 | +36min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:33 / 19:33 | +30min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 10:38 / 19:38 | +25min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:43 / 19:43 | +20min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:48 / 19:48 | +15min | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 10:53 / 19:53 | +10min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10:58 / 19:58 | +5min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:25 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service disruption: Increased Error Rates |
| 10:25 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service disruption: Increased Connectivity Issues and API Er |
| 10:25 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service impact: Increased Connectivity Issues and API Error |
| 10:25 | AWSStatus | AWS | minor | Service impact: Increased connectivity issues and API Error |
| 10:25 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service degradation: Increased Error Rates |
| 10:25 | AWSStatus | AWS | info | Service impact: Increased Error Rates |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:53 | -10 | 161.478 | 161.493 | 161.464 | 161.490 | 0.0265 | 172 |
| 10:55 | -8 | 161.478 | 161.486 | 161.463 | 161.467 | 0.0257 | 132 |
| 10:56 | -7 | 161.468 | 161.485 | 161.463 | 161.483 | 0.0254 | 139 |
| 10:57 | -6 | 161.483 | 161.518 | 161.481 | 161.515 | 0.0263 | 172 |
| 10:58 | -5 | 161.510 | 161.521 | 161.481 | 161.486 | 0.0257 | 197 |
| 11:00 | -3 | 161.479 | 161.488 | 161.462 | 161.484 | 0.0252 | 203 |
| 11:01 | -2 | 161.481 | 161.484 | 161.452 | 161.454 | 0.0259 | 255 |
| 11:02 | -1 | 161.466 | 161.467 | 161.401 | 161.401 | 0.0257 | 272 |
| 11:03 | +0 | 161.422 | 161.425 | 161.267 | 161.348 | 0.0275 | 453 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-06-23T11:04:04+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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