FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 19.8pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-06-23 10:03:20 UTC (19:03 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 19.8pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.463 H=161.514 L=161.350 C=161.460
- その分の ticks/minute: 465
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0252 | 0.0254 | — | 0.0280 |
| spread_max | 0.0273 | 0.0280 | — | 0.0340 |
| ticks_per_minute | 136.6 | 244.7 | — | 465.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0155 | 0.0096 | — | 0.0108 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 7.1820 | 8.0000 | — | 8.2500 |
| ping_max | 13.2 | 14.3 | — | 16.0 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 4.8649 | 15.2 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| info_score | 55.1 | 92.5 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:03 / 18:03 | +60min | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:08 / 18:08 | +55min | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:13 / 18:13 | +50min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:19 / 18:19 | +44min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:24 / 18:24 | +39min | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 09:30 / 18:30 | +33min | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:35 / 18:35 | +28min | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:40 / 18:40 | +23min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:45 / 18:45 | +18min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:51 / 18:51 | +12min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09:56 / 18:56 | +7min | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 10:01 / 19:01 ⬇ | +2min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:22 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | minor | Reported Durable Objects count discrepancies |
| 09:38 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LAX (Los Angeles) on 2026-06-22 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:53 | -10 | 161.671 | 161.690 | 161.671 | 161.680 | 0.0253 | 112 |
| 09:54 | -9 | 161.679 | 161.681 | 161.661 | 161.662 | 0.0254 | 91 |
| 09:55 | -8 | 161.661 | 161.670 | 161.657 | 161.659 | 0.0257 | 161 |
| 09:56 | -7 | 161.666 | 161.671 | 161.656 | 161.669 | 0.0255 | 165 |
| 09:59 | -4 | 161.665 | 161.678 | 161.665 | 161.666 | 0.0252 | 190 |
| 10:00 | -3 | 161.675 | 161.675 | 161.641 | 161.657 | 0.0253 | 213 |
| 10:01 | -2 | 161.659 | 161.661 | 161.526 | 161.529 | 0.0257 | 331 |
| 10:03 | +0 | 161.463 | 161.514 | 161.350 | 161.460 | 0.0280 | 465 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-06-23T10:04:04+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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