FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 21.4pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-06-18 22:42:20 UTC (07:42 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 21.4pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.354 H=161.370 L=161.257 C=161.363
- その分の ticks/minute: 386
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0262 | 0.0275 | — | 0.0281 |
| spread_max | 0.0290 | 0.0323 | — | 0.0340 |
| ticks_per_minute | 221.5 | 243.7 | — | 386.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0133 | 0.0071 | — | 0.0082 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.2685 | 5.1667 | — | 5.3333 |
| ping_max | 11.4 | 8.6667 | — | 9.0000 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.6944 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 1.4286 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 15.4 | 15.2 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| info_score | 67.4 | 92.5 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:44 / 06:44 | +58min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:50 / 06:50 | +52min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:56 / 06:56 | +46min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:02 / 07:02 | +40min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:07 / 07:07 | +35min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:12 / 07:12 | +30min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:17 / 07:17 | +25min | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:23 / 07:23 | +19min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:28 / 07:28 | +14min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:34 / 07:34 | +8min | 43 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 22:40 / 07:40 ⬇ | +2min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:11 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | MRS (Marseille) on 2026-06-19 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:32 | -10 | 161.480 | 161.559 | 161.476 | 161.555 | 0.0287 | 410 |
| 22:33 | -9 | 161.549 | 161.578 | 161.533 | 161.577 | 0.0276 | 365 |
| 22:34 | -8 | 161.576 | 161.614 | 161.570 | 161.611 | 0.0271 | 262 |
| 22:38 | -4 | 161.561 | 161.573 | 161.534 | 161.546 | 0.0264 | 169 |
| 22:39 | -3 | 161.545 | 161.565 | 161.488 | 161.488 | 0.0270 | 227 |
| 22:40 | -2 | 161.504 | 161.507 | 161.376 | 161.380 | 0.0292 | 335 |
| 22:42 | +0 | 161.354 | 161.370 | 161.257 | 161.363 | 0.0281 | 386 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-06-18T22:43:04+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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