FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 24.3pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-06-18 22:38:20 UTC (07:38 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 24.3pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.561 H=161.573 L=161.534 C=161.546
- その分の ticks/minute: 169
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0259 | 0.0274 | — | 0.0264 |
| spread_max | 0.0284 | 0.0320 | — | 0.0300 |
| ticks_per_minute | 197.5 | 313.5 | — | 169.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0136 | 0.0096 | — | 0.0071 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.4120 | 5.6667 | — | 5.0000 |
| ping_max | 11.4 | 13.5 | — | 8.0000 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.6944 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 1.3889 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 13.6 | 18.5 | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| info_score | 70.3 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:38 / 06:38 | +60min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:44 / 06:44 | +54min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:50 / 06:50 | +48min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:56 / 06:56 | +42min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:02 / 07:02 | +36min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:07 / 07:07 | +31min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:12 / 07:12 | +26min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:17 / 07:17 | +21min | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:23 / 07:23 | +15min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:28 / 07:28 | +10min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:34 / 07:34 | +4min | 43 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:11 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | MRS (Marseille) on 2026-06-19 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:28 | -10 | 161.789 | 161.791 | 161.787 | 161.789 | 0.0265 | 124 |
| 22:30 | -8 | 161.782 | 161.783 | 161.621 | 161.689 | 0.0264 | 325 |
| 22:32 | -6 | 161.480 | 161.559 | 161.476 | 161.555 | 0.0287 | 410 |
| 22:33 | -5 | 161.549 | 161.578 | 161.533 | 161.577 | 0.0276 | 365 |
| 22:34 | -4 | 161.576 | 161.614 | 161.570 | 161.611 | 0.0271 | 262 |
| 22:38 | +0 | 161.561 | 161.573 | 161.534 | 161.546 | 0.0264 | 169 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-06-18T22:39:03+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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