FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 20.0pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-06-18 22:32:25 UTC (07:32 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 20.0pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=161.480 H=161.559 L=161.476 C=161.555
- その分の ticks/minute: 410
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0258 | 0.0264 | 0.0276 | 0.0276 |
| spread_max | 0.0283 | 0.0295 | 0.0330 | 0.0330 |
| ticks_per_minute | 188.4 | 224.5 | 365.0 | 365.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0136 | 0.0123 | 0.0100 | 0.0100 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.4910 | 8.0417 | 6.6250 | 5.2500 |
| ping_max | 11.6 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 9.0000 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.6757 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 1.3514 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 12.5 | 12.3 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| info_score | 75.7 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:33 / 06:33 | +59min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:38 / 06:38 | +54min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:44 / 06:44 | +48min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:50 / 06:50 | +42min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21:56 / 06:56 | +36min | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:02 / 07:02 | +30min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:07 / 07:07 | +25min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:12 / 07:12 | +20min | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:17 / 07:17 | +15min | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:23 / 07:23 | +9min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22:28 / 07:28 | +4min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:11 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | MRS (Marseille) on 2026-06-19 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:23 | -9 | 161.741 | 161.755 | 161.737 | 161.755 | 0.0253 | 132 |
| 22:26 | -6 | 161.777 | 161.778 | 161.764 | 161.775 | 0.0260 | 125 |
| 22:27 | -5 | 161.776 | 161.793 | 161.769 | 161.790 | 0.0259 | 159 |
| 22:28 | -4 | 161.789 | 161.791 | 161.787 | 161.789 | 0.0265 | 124 |
| 22:30 | -2 | 161.782 | 161.783 | 161.621 | 161.689 | 0.0264 | 325 |
| 22:32 | +0 | 161.480 | 161.559 | 161.476 | 161.555 | 0.0287 | 410 |
| 22:33 | +1 | 161.549 | 161.578 | 161.533 | 161.577 | 0.0276 | 365 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-06-18T22:34:05+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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