FISM イベント分析: USDJPY 5分 下落 17.8pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-05-18 14:44:20 UTC (23:44 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_return5m - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 17.8pip (5分終値変動)
- 1分足の中身: O=158.743 H=158.752 L=158.718 C=158.728
- その分の ticks/minute: 357
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0246 | 0.0240 | — | 0.0239 |
| spread_max | 0.0265 | 0.0275 | — | 0.0270 |
| ticks_per_minute | 73.1 | 427.5 | — | 357.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0260 | 0.0199 | — | 0.0194 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 7.8500 | 8.2917 | — | 8.7500 |
| ping_max | 15.3 | 16.5 | — | 17.0 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 8.9000 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| info_score | 57.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:46 / 22:46 | +58min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13:52 / 22:52 | +52min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13:58 / 22:58 | +46min | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:03 / 23:03 | +41min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:09 / 23:09 | +35min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:15 / 23:15 | +29min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:20 / 23:20 | +24min | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14:25 / 23:25 | +19min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:30 / 23:30 | +14min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:36 / 23:36 | +8min | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14:41 / 23:41 | +3min | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:10 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | minor | Cloudflare Account Level WAF Rule Editing Restricted |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:34 | -10 | 158.941 | 158.941 | 158.906 | 158.906 | 0.0240 | 197 |
| 14:35 | -9 | 158.907 | 158.908 | 158.880 | 158.904 | 0.0239 | 246 |
| 14:36 | -8 | 158.899 | 158.909 | 158.895 | 158.907 | 0.0242 | 118 |
| 14:40 | -4 | 158.897 | 158.897 | 158.757 | 158.818 | 0.0243 | 476 |
| 14:41 | -3 | 158.810 | 158.830 | 158.794 | 158.796 | 0.0236 | 379 |
| 14:44 | +0 | 158.743 | 158.752 | 158.718 | 158.728 | 0.0239 | 357 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-05-18T14:45:04+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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